Investing in I Bonds: Making Lemonade out of Inflationary Lemons

Investing in I Bonds: Making Lemonade out of Inflationary Lemons

Is rising inflation souring your financial plans? As we covered in our report, “Interest Rates, Inflation, and Investment Strategy,” protecting the bulk of your wealth is mostly about building and maintaining a well-structured investment portfolio with a few anti-inflation elements. Outside of your core portfolio, there is also a potentially sweet deal for turning some of inflation’s lemons into lemonade. We’re talking about U.S. Series I Saving Bonds (“I Bonds”).

I Bonds are not a cure-all for inflation. And there is a thing or two to know about them before you decide whether to proceed. But as one of few holdings whose payouts are indexed to inflation, they may offer a refreshing haven for a portion of your emergency funds or similar cash reserves.

What Are I Bonds?

I Bonds are inflation-indexed savings bonds issued by the U.S. Treasury. Practically speaking, the interest you earn on your I Bond is the sum of two rates:[1]

Fixed Rate + Inflation Rate = I Bond Composite Rate

The fixed rate is based roughly on prevailing economic conditions.

The inflation rate is based on inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers, or the CPI-U. However, the U.S. Treasury guarantees your I Bond will never be worth less than what you paid for it, so your composite rate will never drop below 0%.

The Treasury adjusts I Bond rates every six months, on the first business day of each May and November.

I Bond Rates November 2022 – April 2023

What are current rates for I Bonds purchased from November 2022 – April 2023? The fixed rate is an annualized 0.4% for the life of the bond. The inflation rate is an annualized 3.24% for at least the first six months. After that, your bond’s inflation rate may rise or fall over time, based on the Treasury’s semi-annual November/May rate changes.

In other words, if you purchase an I Bond today, you are essentially guaranteed to earn a 6.89% annualized interest rate for the next six months. If inflation remains high after that, so too will your I Bond’s interest payments.

No wonder I Bonds have received increased attention—and investor dollars—even though they’ve been around since 1998. In the 6 months prior (May-October 2022) to the latest rate change, you could have earned almost 10% annually, essentially risk-free, on relatively accessible cash.

The Rules of I Bond Engagement

So far, so good. But before you prepare to pile your life’s savings into I Bonds, let’s review their “operating instructions.”

Maximum Investments: You can only purchase up to $10,000 in I Bonds per person, per year, although you also can direct up to $5,000 of a tax refund into paper I Bonds on top of that. (Paper bonds can be converted to electronic ones with extra effort. You also can gift I Bonds to others, and invest in them through a business entity. We won’t cover the details here, but we’d be happy to discuss them with you in person if they’re of interest.)

Liquidity: The money you tie up in an I Bond is relatively, but not entirely accessible to you for cashing out as needed. Once you purchase an I Bond, you must hold it for at least a year (with a few hardship exceptions). You may hold it for up to 30 years before it comes due. If you cash out after 1 year but before 5 years, you are penalized three months of interest. This represents more of a speed bump than a road block if you want or need your money back during that period.

Tax Ramifications: At the Federal level, I Bond interest is tax-deferred. As described in this TIPSwatch “I Bond Manifesto” article, “You can elect to report [I  Bond] interest annually if you prefer, but most investors choose the default tax deferral option and thus only pay tax on the accumulated interest when they eventually redeem the I Bonds.” (Hint: This also offers you the opportunity to deliberately redeem the bonds in tax-favorable years.)

I Bonds are exempt from state and local income taxes, offering extra incentives if you live in a high-tax region. There’s also a Federal tax exclusion if your income level qualifies you, and you spend the proceeds on qualified educational expenses. To be eligible in 2021, your Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI) had to be under $98,200 for single, or $154,800 for married filing jointly filers.

Logistics: I Bonds are only sold directly to you, the public, through an account you establish at TreasuryDirect.gov. This means we, as your advisor, cannot open or manage your I Bond account for you. We can coach you as you access the TreasuryDirect system, and advise you on the financial, investment, and tax-planning logistics. But unfortunately, you must hold your I Bonds outside of your primary portfolio. On the plus side, because this is a direct deal between you and the Federal government, there are no ($0) investment fees. If you purchase a $1,000 I Bond and hold it for at least 5 years, you will receive $1,000 back, plus all interest earned.

Timing: Here’s another tip from the I Bond Manifesto: “Interest is earned on the last day of each month and is posted to your account on the first day of the following month. So, if you own your I Bonds on the last day of any month, you’ll earn that full month’s interest.” In other words, if you buy an I Bond toward the end of the month, you can keep that money working elsewhere until then, and still receive the full month’s interest. Reverse that logic by selling I Bonds toward the beginning of the month, and still accruing that month’s interest in your TreasuryDirect account. Your one-year holding period also starts at the beginning, not the end of the month in which you purchase the bond.

Are I Bonds Right for You?

I Bonds are an attractive opportunity at this time. But are they the right opportunity for your greater financial needs? Before you buy, here are a few caveats to consider.

Complexities: Having a TreasuryDirect.gov account filled with I Bonds purchased over the years represents one more set of financial details to track. The inconvenience multiplies if you also purchase any paper I Bonds, directly or through tax refunds. There are due dates to remember, rates to monitor, taxable interest to report, and account security to manage. Is the hassle factor worth it to you? Maybe yes; maybe no. Financial planner Allan Roth reminds us in his AARP article:

“Later on in life, we are all subject to cognitive decline, and decluttering the number of accounts helps protect our nest egg. … [The Treasury does] not send out statements or 1099-Int forms, so make sure your spouse and heirs are aware you have this account. Many executors discover accounts of the deceased by reviewing statements and tax returns, and these I Bonds won’t show up for them.”

Best, Highest Use: It’s always satisfying to score strong returns on any given holding. But if you do decide to purchase I Bonds, where will the money come from, and how else could you have used it? If you’re thinking about tapping your greater portfolio to buy I Bonds, let’s incorporate the action into your structured investment plan. If you plan to use cash reserves already allocated for upcoming expenses or emergency reserves, let’s make sure the one-year holding requirement won’t become a cash-flow problem if unexpected expenses arise.

In short, even if we’re unable to directly manage your I Bond accounts for you, we can still add value as you make use of this enticing, inflation-busting opportunity. How much money can you comfortably allocate to I Bonds? How can we make best use of their tax-planning possibilities? What other questions can we answer for you? Before you buy, let’s talk.

Ted Fischer
Fischer Investment Strategies

 

[1] The actual calculation is a little more complicated, but essentially ends up being the sum of these two rates.

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This commentary reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints and analyses of the Fischer Investment Strategies, LLC employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded as a description of advisory services provided by Fischer Investment Strategies, LLC or performance returns of any Fischer Investment Strategies, LLC client. The views reflected in the commentary are subject to change at any time without notice. Nothing in this commentary constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Fischer Investment Strategies, LLC manages its clients’ accounts using a variety of investment techniques and strategies, which are not necessarily discussed in the commentary. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Financial Advisor at Fischer Investment Strategies | Website | + posts

Ted Fischer is a Fee-Only Certified Financial Planner® & fiduciary, and the founder of Fischer Investment Strategies.

Drawing from more than 25 years of experience in the financial services industry, Ted's expertise includes retirement planning, investment analysis, tax planning, estate planning, and insurance.

Ted has an extensive academic background. He received his Certified Financial Planning (CFP®) designation from UCLA in 2011. He became a Qualified Plan Financial Consultant (QPFC®) and an Accredited Investment Fiduciary (AIF®). Ted has a Bachelor of Science in Marketing, with a minor in Finance, from San Diego State University.

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